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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? | Parity

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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

4%chance

5% to buy

Periodic refreshCloses Dec 31

Oct 14Oct 29Nov 13

Probability over time

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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

December 31

Trending in Economy

Closes Dec 9Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase89%
Closes Jan 27, 2027Fed Decision in January?25 bps increase62%
Closes Dec 31Largest Company end of December 2026?Apple88%
Closes Dec 31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes6%

Related markets

Closes Dec 31How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)98%
Closes Nov 30Largest Company end of November 2026?Apple94%
Closes Dec 9Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes97%
Closes Dec 9Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike97%
Closes Mar 17, 2027Fed Decision in March?25 bps increase62%
Closes Jan 30, 2027US recession by end of 2026?Yes2%