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Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Parity · Parity

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Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

79%chance

80¢ to buy · 1.25x

Periodic refresh· 12.5K Vol.· 646.7K all timeCloses Dec 10

Sep 16Sep 29Oct 12

Probability over time

Trending in Economy

Oct 29991K Vol.Fed Decision in October?No change80%
Jan 1, 202789.5K Vol.Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIA75%
Dec 960.7K Vol.Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase76%
Jan 1, 202745.8K Vol.Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes15%

Resolution sourcehttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Where to next

Crypto3,852 markets
Politics2,385 markets
World706 markets
Finance517 markets
NFL Football521 markets
NCAA Football376 markets
Soccer1,868 markets
Baseball50 markets

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?