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economy
1 more outcome temporarily unpriced

US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)98%
Largest Company end of November 2026?Apple94%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes97%
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike97%
Fed Decision in March?25 bps increase62%
US recession by end of 2026?Yes2%