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World

412 markets · 60 countries

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Global

15 markets

Next ECB President?

Pablo Hernández de Cos

Hot right now

Taiwan24 marketsKaohsiung Mayor Election Winner United States100 marketsHow many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?Ukraine93 marketsUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?

1 / 25

Global15 marketsNext ECB President?

Pablo Hernández de Cos

Taiwan24 marketsTaipei Mayor Election Winner

Election · Nov 28Chiang Wan-an

United States100 marketsHow many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

3

Ukraine93 marketsUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?

December 31, 2027

Iran91 marketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

Russia88 marketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2027

Israel77 marketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

December 31

China33 marketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yemen24 marketsHouthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

December 31

Nigeria17 marketsNigerian Presidential Election Winner

Election · Jan 16, 2027Bola Tinubu

Saudi Arabia15 marketsSaudi airspace closed by...?

Palestine13 marketsForeign intervention in Gaza by..?

Lebanon11 marketsU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Syria10 marketsSyrian troops enter Yemen by...?

India8 marketsModi out by December 31, 2026?

France7 marketsFrance declares state of emergency by...?

Japan6 marketsBank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase

Pakistan6 marketsImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?

Venezuela6 marketsWill Venezuela become 51st state?

United Arab Emirates5 marketsWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Australia4 marketsReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change

Cuba4 marketsUS military action against Cuba by...?

Poland4 marketsTusk out by December 31?

South Korea4 marketsBank of Korea Decision in January?

No Change

Türkiye4 marketsTurkey military action against Yemen by...?

All478
Middle East182
Russia and Ukraine118
Europe42
China63
Asia and Pacific44
Africa33
Americas17

world · Closes Nov 14

Eurovision Asia 2026: Public Vote Winner

+7 more outcomes · 2 temporarily unpriced›

world · Closes Nov 14

Eurovision Asia Winner 2026

+9 more outcomes›

world · Closes Feb 7, 2027

Next ECB President?

+1 more outcome · 1 temporarily unpriced›

world · Closes Nov 14

Eurovision Asia 2026: Jury Winner

+7 more outcomes · 2 temporarily unpriced›

world · Closes Nov 14

Eurovision Asia 2026: Top 3

+7 more outcomes · 2 temporarily unpriced›

world · Closes Feb 4, 2027

ECB Interest Rates: February 2027

+1 more outcome›

world · Closes Mar 18, 2027

ECB Interest Rates: March 2027

+2 more outcomes›

world · Closes Dec 31

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

NATO article 5 before 2027?

3%chance

NoNo: This side is not on offer right now

worldCloses Dec 31

world · Closes Dec 31

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

NoNo price

world · Closes Dec 17

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

+1 more outcome›

world · 3 thresholds · Closes Dec 31, 2027

Will any country leave NATO by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

ECB rate cut in 2026?

NoNo price

world · Closes Dec 31

EU dissolves before 2027?

NoNo price

world · Closes Dec 31

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

NoNo price

World

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