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World

414 markets · 60 countries

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Lebanon

11 markets

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Hot right now

Taiwan24 marketsKaohsiung Mayor Election Winner United States100 marketsHow many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?Ukraine94 marketsUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?

1 / 25

Lebanon11 marketsU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Taiwan24 marketsTaipei Mayor Election Winner

Election · Nov 28Chiang Wan-an

United States100 marketsHow many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

3

Ukraine94 marketsUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?

December 31, 2027

Iran92 marketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

Russia89 marketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 31, 2027

Israel77 marketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

December 31

China33 marketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yemen24 marketsHouthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

December 31

Nigeria17 marketsNigerian Presidential Election Winner

Election · Jan 16, 2027Bola Tinubu

Saudi Arabia15 marketsSaudi airspace closed by...?

Palestine13 marketsForeign intervention in Gaza by..?

Syria10 marketsSyrian troops enter Yemen by...?

India8 marketsModi out by December 31, 2026?

France7 marketsFrance declares state of emergency by...?

Japan6 marketsBank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase

Pakistan6 marketsImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?

Venezuela6 marketsWill Venezuela become 51st state?

United Arab Emirates5 marketsWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Australia4 marketsReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change

Cuba4 marketsUS military action against Cuba by...?

Poland4 marketsTusk out by December 31?

South Korea4 marketsBank of Korea Decision in January?

No Change

Türkiye4 marketsTurkey military action against Yemen by...?

Global15 marketsNext ECB President?

Pablo Hernández de Cos

All478
Middle East182
Russia and Ukraine118
Europe42
China63
Asia and Pacific44
Africa33
Americas17

world · Closes Nov 30

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

+12 more outcomes · 5 temporarily unpriced›

world · Closes Dec 31

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

world · 4 thresholds · Closes Dec 31, 2027

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

world · Closes Nov 30

Will Hezbollah target Israel by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

NoNo price

world · Closes Nov 30

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

NoNo price

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

6%chance

NoNo: This side is not on offer right now

worldCloses Dec 31

world · Closes Dec 31

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

NoNo price

world · Closes Dec 31

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

NoNo price

world · Closes Dec 31

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

NoNo price

world · Closes Dec 31

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

World

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