World Markets | Parity

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world · Closes Mar 31, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

+3 more outcomes

world · 9 thresholds · Closes Dec 31

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

world · 5 thresholds · Closes Dec 31

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

world · Closes Dec 31

Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

world · Closes Dec 31

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

world · Closes Dec 31

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

world · 3 thresholds · Closes Jun 30, 2027

Iran leadership change by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

Iran full airspace closure by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

world · Closes Dec 31

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

+17 more outcomes

world · Closes Dec 31

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

world · Closes Dec 31, 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

world · Closes Dec 31

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

world · Closes Nov 30

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

+12 more outcomes · 5 temporarily unpriced

world · Closes Dec 31

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

+22 more outcomes · 1 temporarily unpriced

world · Closes Nov 30

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

+4 more outcomes

world · Closes Dec 31

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

world · Closes Dec 31

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

world · 3 thresholds · Closes Jan 31, 2027

Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?

world · Closes Dec 31

Israel military action against Syria by...?

1 temporarily unpriced

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

11%chance

worldCloses Dec 31