Weather Markets

weather · Closes Jun 30, 2027

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

2 temporarily unpriced

weather · Closes Nov 15

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?

+5 more outcomes · 3 temporarily unpriced

weather · 7 thresholds · Closes Nov 15

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?

weather · Closes Nov 13

What will the biggest earthquake be on November 12, 2026?

+1 more outcome · 3 temporarily unpriced

weather · Closes Mar 31, 2027

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

4 temporarily unpriced

weather · 6 thresholds · Closes Nov 30

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30?

weather · Closes Nov 30

PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?

1 temporarily unpriced

weather · Closes Jan 7, 2027

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

+1 more outcome · 5 temporarily unpriced

weather · Closes Dec 31

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

NoNo price

weather · Closes Feb 28, 2027

Natural Disaster in 2026?

NoNo price

weather · Closes Jan 31, 2027

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

NoNo price

weather · Closes Dec 7

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

+15 more outcomes · 1 temporarily unpriced

weather · Closes Apr 15, 2027

How low will Lake Powell drop?

Above 3,510 ftNo price

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

10%chance

weatherCloses Jan 11, 2027

weather · Closes Jan 7, 2027

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

NoNo price

weather · Closes Jan 31, 2027

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

NoNo price

weather · Closes Dec 31

Natural disasters

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide November 9 - November 15?

What will the biggest earthquake be on November 12, 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30?