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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | Parity · Parity
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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
share
Periodic refresh
· 1.7K Vol.
·
165.7K
all time
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Anthropic
51%
OpenAI
11%
Meta
9%
xAI
7%
+9 more
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Sep 12
Sep 27
Oct 12
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Markets
Yes
No
Anthropic
51%
▼ 13 pts
55¢
54¢
OpenAI
11%
▼ 2 pts
11¢
90¢
Meta
9%
9¢
92¢
xAI
7%
8¢
94¢
DeepSeek
6%
6¢
95¢
Baidu
5%
▼ 0.5 pts
6¢
No quote
Alibaba
5%
5¢
No quote
Microsoft
5%
5¢
No quote
Moonshot
3%
▼ 0.1 pts
4¢
No quote
Mistral
3%
▼ 0.1 pts
3¢
No quote
Amazon
3%
▼ 0.5 pts
3¢
No quote
Meituan
3%
▼ 0.6 pts
3¢
No quote
Z.ai
2%
▼ 1 pts
5¢
No quote
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Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Yes
51%
No
49%