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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | Parity · Parity
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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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Periodic refresh
· 45.4K Vol.
·
3.6M
all time
Closes Mar 2, 2027
1
67%
2
30%
3
0.5%
4
0.3%
+2 more
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Aug 29
Sep 13
Sep 28
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Markets
Yes
No
1
67%
▲ 6 pts
67¢
34¢
2
30%
▼ 2 pts
30¢
71¢
Market rules
Show market rules
Resolution source
See the market rules above
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt
Where to next
Crypto
3,828
markets
Politics
2,459
markets
World
691
markets
Finance
415
markets
NFL Football
538
markets
NCAA Football
258
markets
Soccer
1,340
markets
Baseball
73
markets
1
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Yes
67%
No
33%
