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Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Parity · Parity
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politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
share
Live
· 183.8K Vol.
·
715.6M
all time
Closes Nov 8, 2028
JD Vance
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon Ossoff
10%
Gavin Newsom
9%
+50 more
0%
10%
20%
30%
Sep 12
Sep 27
Oct 12
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Markets
Yes
No
JD Vance
23%
▲ 4 pts
23¢
77¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
13¢
87¢
Jon Ossoff
10%
▲ 0.2 pts
10¢
90¢
Gavin Newsom
9%
9¢
91¢
Marco Rubio
8%
▼ 0.1 pts
8¢
92¢
Kamala Harris
5%
5¢
No quote
Josh Shapiro
3%
▼ 0.2 pts
3¢
No quote
Pete Buttigieg
3%
3¢
No quote
Ron DeSantis
2%
2¢
No quote
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%
2¢
No quote
Andy Beshear
2%
2¢
No quote
Tucker Carlson
2%
2¢
No quote
James Talarico
1%
▼ 0.1 pts
1¢
No quote
Mark Kelly
1%
1¢
No quote
Donald Trump
1%
1¢
No quote
Raphael Warnock
1%
▲ 0.8 pts
1¢
No quote
Wes Moore
0.9%
1¢
No quote
Thomas Massie
0.9%
1¢
No quote
22 more outcomes temporarily unpriced
Market rules
Show market rules
Resolution source
See the market rules above
Where to next
Crypto
3,828
markets
World
699
markets
Finance
501
markets
Tech
395
markets
NFL Football
521
markets
NCAA Football
279
markets
Soccer
1,875
markets
Baseball
50
markets
JD Vance
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Yes
23%
No
77%