Skip to markets
Predictions
Portfolio
Search
Back to Homepage
Session time:
0:00
Balance
·
Deposit
Loading these markets
Predictions
Portfolio
Search
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch? | Parity · Parity
Categories
All markets
Crypto
Sports
NFL Football
NCAA Football
Soccer
Baseball
Tennis
Basketball
Politics
World
Finance
Entertainment
Tech
Culture
Weather
Esports
Stocks
Economy
Business
Science
Social
Health
Other
All markets
crypto
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
share
Periodic refresh
· 24.5K Vol.
·
840.9K
all time
Closes Jan 1, 2028
$500M
61%
$1B
59%
$2B
58%
$3B
44%
+6 more
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Aug 29
Sep 13
Sep 28
Probability over time
1D
1W
1M
All
Thresholds
Yes
No
$1B
59%
▼ 2 pts
60¢
42¢
$2B
58%
▼ 2 pts
59¢
43¢
$3B
44%
▲ 0.5 pts
45¢
57¢
$4B
37%
▲ 0.5 pts
37¢
64¢
$5B
32%
33¢
69¢
$6B
31%
31¢
70¢
$8B
14%
▼ 0.5 pts
15¢
87¢
$10B
16%
▼ 1 pts
16¢
85¢
$12B
11%
▼ 2 pts
12¢
90¢
$500M
61%
61¢
40¢
Market rules
Show market rules
Resolution source
See the market rules above
Where to next
Politics
2,459
markets
World
691
markets
Finance
415
markets
Entertainment
400
markets
NFL Football
538
markets
NCAA Football
258
markets
Soccer
1,340
markets
Baseball
73
markets
$2B
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Yes
58%
No
42%
